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    Plateau State

    Rooftop solar in Langtang North, Plateau: what the roofs are worth

    Langtang North has 140,000 buildings with a viable rooftop and 810 MWp of roof capacity. 12% run a generator, and together they spend ₦12bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    140,000

    Usable roof area

    3.64 km²

    810 MWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦12bn/yr

    11.4 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    16.6 yr

    Median IRR 5% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Langtang North

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦12bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦11.8bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦630bn
    NPV₦95.6bn
    Median IRR5%
    Median payback16.6 yr
    Unlocked energy12.6 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity66.6 MWp
    Capex₦71.6bn
    Year-one energy value₦72.2bn
    Lifetime energy value₦3.44tn
    NPV₦590bn
    Median IRR99%
    Median payback1.1 yr

    Three ways to size Langtang North's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    66.6 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦71.6bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦72.2bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦590bn
    Median IRR
    99%
    Median payback
    1.1 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Langtang North pays back quickly

    Of the 138,708 buildings in Langtang North with a modelled payback, 23.1% pay back inside five years and 11.7% inside three.

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    How much of Langtang North's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Langtang North consume 19.9 GWh/yr but want 32.5 GWh/yr. The 39% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Langtang North

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Langtang North actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 138,708 buildings with a modelled result out of 140,000 in Langtang North. 38,359 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years16,206 (12%)
    Under 5 years32,102 (23%)
    Under 7 years38,402 (28%)
    Under 10 years45,254 (33%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%43,013 (31%)
    Above 15%38,359 (27%)
    Above 20%33,767 (24%)
    Above 25%28,840 (21%)
    CO₂ avoided

    22.6 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    5.63 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    12.6 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    182k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Langtang North.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Langtang North

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    C56,0167,875₦5.03bn₦5.03bn5%15.9 yr
    E41,3674,153₦3.88bn₦3.7bn5%16.9 yr
    D40,9674,019₦2.88bn₦2.85bn5%17.1 yr
    B1,650286₦179m₦179m19%5.9 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential137,33514,122₦7.54bn₦7.51bn5%16.6 yr
    Commercial Retail914820₦78.3m₦78.3m63%1.6 yr
    Commercial General696611₦1.23bn₦1.23bn57%1.9 yr
    Anchor569441₦2.78bn₦2.59bn65%1.6 yr
    Worship425300₦263m₦263m59%1.9 yr
    Industrial4227₦66m₦66m63%1.6 yr
    Hospitality105₦6.16m₦6.16m37%2.4 yr
    Filling Station97₦5.49m₦5.49m51%2.1 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Under 30m2100,4757,696₦662m₦662m5%17.9 yr
    50 100m215,5293,043₦1.34bn₦1.34bn27%4.1 yr
    30 50m212,8232,167₦359m₦359m11%9.4 yr
    100 250m29,6292,698₦3.89bn₦3.86bn29%3.6 yr
    250 1000m21,488697₦3.94bn₦3.94bn31%3.6 yr
    Over 1000m25632₦1.78bn₦1.6bn65%1.6 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban53,2876,871₦4.93bn₦4.93bn5%16.1 yr
    Unclassified49,6902,731₦2.93bn₦2.72bn3%18.4 yr
    Urban Centre22,4404,786₦3.32bn₦3.32bn17%5.9 yr
    Rural14,5831,945₦792m₦792m5%16.6 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Shed102,3097,041₦632m₦632m5%17.6 yr
    Residential Small20,1723,372₦1.39bn₦1.39bn25%4.4 yr
    Residential10,3982,978₦5.31bn₦5.28bn29%3.6 yr
    Residential Informal4,454731₦205m₦205m21%4.9 yr
    Kiosk Shop914820₦78.3m₦78.3m63%1.6 yr
    Institutional476357₦1.99bn₦1.81bn59%1.9 yr
    Commercial Corridor370356₦632m₦632m45%2.4 yr
    Educational Facility197162₦487m₦487m89%1.1 yr
    School163136₦252m₦252m87%1.1 yr
    Worship Center154106₦48.3m₦48.3m65%1.6 yr
    Place Of Worship12289₦27.3m₦27.3m63%1.6 yr
    Healthcare Facility8657₦647m₦647m53%1.9 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)140,00016,333₦12bn₦11.8bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard138,99315,487₦8.44bn₦8.41bn5%16.6 yr
    Enterprise611468₦2.84bn₦2.66bn65%1.6 yr
    SME High396378₦686m₦686m45%2.4 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    0.0102,3997,092₦636m₦636m
    2.015,0393,289₦2.25bn₦2.25bn
    3.010,6813,095₦7.46bn₦7.25bn
    1.09,9922,419₦630m₦630m
    4.01,804356₦763m₦763m
    5.07775₦189m₦189m
    6.087₦39.3m₦39.3m

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Nearby LGAs in Plateau