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    Akwa Ibom State

    Rooftop solar in Ibeno, Akwa Ibom: what the roofs are worth

    Ibeno has 12,646 buildings with a viable rooftop and 370 MWp of roof capacity. 55% run a generator, and together they spend ₦35.2bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    12,646

    Usable roof area

    1.64 km²

    370 MWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦35.2bn/yr

    25.9 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    3.9 yr

    Median IRR 29% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Ibeno

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦35.2bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦33.2bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦1.68tn
    NPV₦232bn
    Median IRR29%
    Median payback3.9 yr
    Unlocked energy16.1 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity96.2 MWp
    Capex₦97.5bn
    Year-one energy value₦51.6bn
    Lifetime energy value₦2.38tn
    NPV₦362bn
    Median IRR55%
    Median payback1.9 yr

    Three ways to size Ibeno's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    96.2 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦97.5bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦51.6bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦362bn
    Median IRR
    55%
    Median payback
    1.9 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Ibeno pays back quickly

    Of the 12,631 buildings in Ibeno with a modelled payback, 89.3% pay back inside five years and 38.4% inside three.

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    How much of Ibeno's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Ibeno consume 68.1 GWh/yr but want 84.1 GWh/yr. The 19% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Ibeno

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Ibeno actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 12,631 buildings with a modelled result out of 12,646 in Ibeno. 12,130 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years4,851 (38%)
    Under 5 years11,281 (89%)
    Under 7 years12,124 (96%)
    Under 10 years12,333 (98%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%12,284 (97%)
    Above 15%12,130 (96%)
    Above 20%11,591 (92%)
    Above 25%7,030 (56%)
    CO₂ avoided

    59.8 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    15.2 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    16.1 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    139k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Ibeno.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Ibeno

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    A7,5403,764₦19.1bn₦18.7bn25%4.4 yr
    B3,6692,652₦10.6bn₦10.1bn45%2.4 yr
    D676225₦2.81bn₦2.18bn25%4.6 yr
    E552266₦2.03bn₦1.64bn25%4.4 yr
    C20951₦723m₦561m25%4.4 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential12,5546,906₦28.9bn₦27bn27%3.9 yr
    Anchor3919₦6.27bn₦6.2bn33%3.1 yr
    Commercial General3222₦58.3m₦58.3m37%2.9 yr
    Worship1910₦23.9m₦23.9m33%3.4 yr
    Hospitality21₦6.16m₦5.61m27%3.4 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m23,8752,290₦9.17bn₦8.49bn33%3.4 yr
    50 100m23,1891,662₦2.01bn₦1.88bn27%4.1 yr
    30 50m22,1381,056₦386m₦375m25%4.6 yr
    250 1000m22,0761,218₦15.5bn₦14.4bn35%3.1 yr
    Under 30m21,298701₦114m₦114m27%4.1 yr
    Over 1000m27031₦8.02bn₦7.94bn31%3.4 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Unclassified12,6256,937₦33.2bn₦31.5bn29%3.9 yr
    Rural2121₦1.98bn₦1.77bn65%1.6 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential4,3722,435₦21.4bn₦19.7bn35%3.1 yr
    Residential Small2,6731,290₦1.81bn₦1.67bn25%4.4 yr
    Shed2,6291,248₦158m₦158m23%4.6 yr
    Residential Formal1,8131,077₦4.06bn₦4.01bn27%4.4 yr
    Residential Informal588581₦640m₦640m39%2.9 yr
    Apartment442257₦762m₦761m27%4.4 yr
    Institutional6238₦6.29bn₦6.23bn37%2.9 yr
    Duplex3718₦31.7m₦31.7m25%4.6 yr
    Place Of Worship95₦6.19m₦6.19m33%3.1 yr
    Clinic87₦44.5m₦43.7m41%2.4 yr
    Unknown71₦8.71m₦8.71m29%3.6 yr
    Hotel21₦6.16m₦5.61m27%3.4 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)11,8156,777₦27.6bn₦25.9bn
    Industrial831181₦7.6bn₦7.34bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard12,6056,938₦28.9bn₦27bn29%3.9 yr
    Enterprise3919₦6.27bn₦6.2bn33%3.1 yr
    SME High21₦6.16m₦5.61m27%3.4 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    3.06,0093,312₦28bn₦26.1bn
    4.02,7061,769₦6.15bn₦6.09bn
    0.02,6291,248₦158m₦158m
    2.01,165564₦817m₦791m
    1.013765₦52.9m₦50.6m

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Nearby LGAs in Akwa Ibom