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    Imo State

    Rooftop solar in Okigwe, Imo: what the roofs are worth

    Okigwe has 45,382 buildings with a viable rooftop and 1.03 GWp of roof capacity. 51% run a generator, and together they spend ₦46.7bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    45,382

    Usable roof area

    4.6 km²

    1.03 GWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦46.7bn/yr

    45 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    2.9 yr

    Median IRR 37% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Okigwe

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦46.7bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦46bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦2.4tn
    NPV₦378bn
    Median IRR37%
    Median payback2.9 yr
    Unlocked energy40.4 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity175 MWp
    Capex₦169bn
    Year-one energy value₦146bn
    Lifetime energy value₦6.89tn
    NPV₦1.16tn
    Median IRR99%
    Median payback1.1 yr

    Three ways to size Okigwe's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    175 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦169bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦146bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦1.16tn
    Median IRR
    99%
    Median payback
    1.1 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Okigwe pays back quickly

    Of the 45,261 buildings in Okigwe with a modelled payback, 78.5% pay back inside five years and 50.4% inside three.

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    How much of Okigwe's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Okigwe consume 69.5 GWh/yr but want 110 GWh/yr. The 37% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Okigwe

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Okigwe actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 45,261 buildings with a modelled result out of 45,382 in Okigwe. 39,119 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years22,799 (50%)
    Under 5 years35,518 (78%)
    Under 7 years39,100 (86%)
    Under 10 years41,402 (91%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%40,824 (90%)
    Above 15%39,119 (86%)
    Above 20%36,708 (81%)
    Above 25%28,143 (62%)
    CO₂ avoided

    84.2 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    23.5 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    40.4 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    297k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Okigwe.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Okigwe

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    D20,2429,831₦22.5bn₦22.3bn33%3.4 yr
    E19,19310,033₦17.9bn₦17.6bn43%2.4 yr
    C5,9473,091₦6.25bn₦6.14bn39%2.9 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential40,68719,332₦30.8bn₦30.2bn25%4.4 yr
    Commercial General2,5851,983₦10.6bn₦10.5bn49%2.1 yr
    Commercial Retail1,4781,112₦279m₦279m45%2.4 yr
    Anchor375317₦4.33bn₦4.3bn65%1.6 yr
    Worship153133₦142m₦142m61%1.6 yr
    Industrial3832₦230m₦230m69%1.6 yr
    Hospitality3623₦284m₦273m53%1.9 yr
    Productive Use2014₦16.2m₦16.2m61%1.6 yr
    Filling Station109₦22.5m₦22.5m61%1.6 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m216,5098,358₦17.2bn₦16.9bn43%2.6 yr
    50 100m210,5765,183₦2.96bn₦2.93bn33%3.4 yr
    Under 30m27,7843,851₦446m₦445m31%3.4 yr
    30 50m25,8052,837₦618m₦618m33%3.4 yr
    250 1000m24,6362,666₦20.8bn₦20.4bn51%2.1 yr
    Over 1000m27260₦4.71bn₦4.69bn71%1.4 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban21,24011,145₦24bn₦23.5bn57%1.9 yr
    Dense Urban20,30310,459₦16.5bn₦16.5bn37%2.9 yr
    Unclassified3,3151,043₦3.9bn₦3.85bn25%4.4 yr
    Rural319179₦257m₦257m67%1.6 yr
    Urban Centre205129₦2.01bn₦1.9bn69%1.6 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential Small14,8857,318₦3.88bn₦3.85bn25%4.4 yr
    Residential13,9726,909₦25.7bn₦25.2bn25%4.1 yr
    Shed7,5953,330₦334m₦334m11%9.4 yr
    Residential Formal3,6781,502₦760m₦760m25%4.4 yr
    Kiosk Shop1,4971,125₦295m₦295m45%2.4 yr
    Commercial1,2921,102₦6.16bn₦6.11bn49%2.1 yr
    Commercial Corridor1,021659₦3.54bn₦3.47bn47%2.4 yr
    Apartment398197₦79.7m₦79.7m25%4.4 yr
    Institutional247216₦2.58bn₦2.58bn57%1.9 yr
    Duplex15875₦37m₦37m25%4.4 yr
    Educational Facility119104₦584m₦584m83%1.4 yr
    School10289₦294m₦294m79%1.4 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)45,38222,955₦46.7bn₦46bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard42,64720,837₦32.4bn₦31.9bn25%4.1 yr
    SME High2,3341,777₦9.73bn₦9.6bn47%2.1 yr
    Enterprise401341₦4.53bn₦4.5bn67%1.6 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    3.022,99512,121₦32.8bn₦32.2bn
    0.07,5873,326₦333m₦333m
    4.06,3982,709₦4.35bn₦4.28bn
    2.05,9253,086₦1.55bn₦1.55bn
    5.01,4071,033₦3.32bn₦3.23bn
    1.0738396₦134m₦134m
    6.0332284₦4.26bn₦4.26bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Nearby LGAs in Imo