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    Imo State

    Rooftop solar in Owerri North, Imo: what the roofs are worth

    Owerri North has 103,592 buildings with a viable rooftop and 2.78 GWp of roof capacity. 49% run a generator, and together they spend ₦51.9bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    103,592

    Usable roof area

    12.4 km²

    2.78 GWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦51.9bn/yr

    44.5 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    4.4 yr

    Median IRR 25% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Owerri North

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦51.9bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦51.6bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦2.8tn
    NPV₦401bn
    Median IRR25%
    Median payback4.4 yr
    Unlocked energy53.6 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity208 MWp
    Capex₦198bn
    Year-one energy value₦130bn
    Lifetime energy value₦6.09tn
    NPV₦976bn
    Median IRR65%
    Median payback1.6 yr

    Three ways to size Owerri North's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    208 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦198bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦130bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦976bn
    Median IRR
    65%
    Median payback
    1.6 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Owerri North pays back quickly

    Of the 102,762 buildings in Owerri North with a modelled payback, 72.3% pay back inside five years and 35.0% inside three.

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    How much of Owerri North's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Owerri North consume 108 GWh/yr but want 161 GWh/yr. The 33% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Owerri North

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Owerri North actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 102,762 buildings with a modelled result out of 103,592 in Owerri North. 88,589 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years35,959 (35%)
    Under 5 years74,279 (72%)
    Under 7 years88,443 (86%)
    Under 10 years96,646 (94%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%95,582 (92%)
    Above 15%88,589 (86%)
    Above 20%78,347 (76%)
    Above 25%50,042 (48%)
    CO₂ avoided

    102 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    21.3 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    53.6 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    219k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Owerri North.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Owerri North

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    A70,12133,618₦25.7bn₦25.5bn25%4.4 yr
    B14,4737,990₦10.2bn₦10.2bn35%2.9 yr
    C9,4255,166₦8.65bn₦8.59bn47%2.1 yr
    E5,3212,379₦2.9bn₦2.83bn25%4.4 yr
    D4,2521,769₦4.49bn₦4.48bn25%4.4 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential98,57247,444₦27.8bn₦27.7bn25%4.4 yr
    Commercial General2,7132,002₦14.9bn₦14.8bn47%2.4 yr
    Commercial Retail1,125916₦368m₦368m45%2.4 yr
    Anchor704341₦7.78bn₦7.59bn41%2.6 yr
    Industrial225124₦610m₦609m39%2.9 yr
    Worship13661₦117m₦117m33%3.1 yr
    Hospitality8019₦359m₦348m33%3.4 yr
    Filling Station209₦12.3m₦12.3m33%3.1 yr
    Mall Retail125₦12.5m₦12.5m35%3.1 yr
    Productive Use40₦2.73m₦2.73m33%3.1 yr
    Automotive11₦3.42m₦3.42m33%3.1 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m234,70717,211₦15.1bn₦15.1bn25%4.4 yr
    50 100m219,4079,250₦2.37bn₦2.34bn25%4.6 yr
    Under 30m218,2648,824₦629m₦626m17%6.1 yr
    250 1000m217,4578,955₦25.1bn₦25bn29%3.9 yr
    30 50m213,4536,520₦833m₦821m21%5.1 yr
    Over 1000m2304162₦7.86bn₦7.67bn35%3.1 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban Centre85,99342,718₦36.5bn₦36.3bn25%4.4 yr
    Urban7,5163,963₦7.3bn₦7.21bn51%2.1 yr
    Unclassified6,4013,205₦4.75bn₦4.68bn25%4.4 yr
    Dense Urban3,473979₦3.35bn₦3.35bn25%4.6 yr
    Rural20957₦57.7m₦57.7m25%4.6 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential Formal41,17119,244₦5.5bn₦5.49bn25%4.4 yr
    Residential16,1459,594₦17.8bn₦17.8bn51%2.1 yr
    Residential Informal15,4824,734₦1.77bn₦1.77bn25%4.4 yr
    Residential Small13,8417,830₦1.96bn₦1.93bn45%2.4 yr
    Shed9,8245,389₦533m₦533m37%2.9 yr
    Apartment1,530432₦141m₦140m25%4.6 yr
    Commercial1,1341,067₦8.34bn₦8.27bn49%2.1 yr
    Kiosk Shop1,126916₦367m₦367m45%2.4 yr
    Commercial Corridor752563₦4.25bn₦4.23bn45%2.4 yr
    Duplex539205₦42.6m₦42.6m25%4.4 yr
    Institutional483249₦5.74bn₦5.64bn31%3.4 yr
    Unknown354147₦1bn₦998m31%3.6 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)103,59250,922₦51.9bn₦51.6bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard100,74948,823₦30.9bn₦30.8bn25%4.4 yr
    SME High1,9531,653₦12.8bn₦12.7bn49%2.1 yr
    Enterprise890446₦8.26bn₦8.08bn41%2.6 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    4.038,21516,968₦13.4bn₦13.3bn
    3.035,08618,756₦27.6bn₦27.4bn
    2.016,3897,549₦1.69bn₦1.67bn
    0.09,8485,401₦537m₦537m
    1.02,9461,326₦239m₦238m
    5.0794645₦4.22bn₦4.2bn
    6.0314277₦4.25bn₦4.16bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

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