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    Imo State

    Rooftop solar in Ihitte/Uboma, Imo: what the roofs are worth

    Ihitte/Uboma has 26,592 buildings with a viable rooftop and 581 MWp of roof capacity. 53% run a generator, and together they spend ₦24.3bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    26,592

    Usable roof area

    2.59 km²

    581 MWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦24.3bn/yr

    23.8 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    1.9 yr

    Median IRR 53% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Ihitte/Uboma

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦24.3bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦24.2bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦1.25tn
    NPV₦198bn
    Median IRR53%
    Median payback1.9 yr
    Unlocked energy19.1 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity85.5 MWp
    Capex₦86.6bn
    Year-one energy value₦77.3bn
    Lifetime energy value₦3.67tn
    NPV₦619bn
    Median IRR99%
    Median payback1.1 yr

    Three ways to size Ihitte/Uboma's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    85.5 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦86.6bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦77.3bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦619bn
    Median IRR
    99%
    Median payback
    1.1 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Ihitte/Uboma pays back quickly

    Of the 26,534 buildings in Ihitte/Uboma with a modelled payback, 77.1% pay back inside five years and 53.0% inside three.

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    How much of Ihitte/Uboma's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Ihitte/Uboma consume 31.9 GWh/yr but want 51 GWh/yr. The 37% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Ihitte/Uboma

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Ihitte/Uboma actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 26,534 buildings with a modelled result out of 26,592 in Ihitte/Uboma. 22,523 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years14,060 (53%)
    Under 5 years20,445 (77%)
    Under 7 years22,504 (85%)
    Under 10 years23,891 (90%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%23,470 (88%)
    Above 15%22,523 (85%)
    Above 20%21,184 (80%)
    Above 25%15,318 (58%)
    CO₂ avoided

    43 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    13.1 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    19.1 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    173k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Ihitte/Uboma.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Ihitte/Uboma

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    D11,2015,844₦13.2bn₦13.1bn59%1.9 yr
    E10,2154,925₦7.46bn₦7.45bn25%4.4 yr
    C5,1763,307₦3.6bn₦3.6bn59%1.9 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential25,56313,143₦17.7bn₦17.7bn51%2.1 yr
    Commercial General466423₦2.19bn₦2.19bn59%1.9 yr
    Anchor231207₦2.54bn₦2.52bn77%1.4 yr
    Commercial Retail134131₦31.8m₦31.8m63%1.6 yr
    Worship114102₦121m₦121m61%1.6 yr
    Industrial8268₦1.63bn₦1.63bn67%1.6 yr
    Filling Station11₦268k₦268k45%2.4 yr
    Hospitality11₦227k₦227k49%2.1 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m29,1334,810₦9.7bn₦9.66bn53%1.9 yr
    50 100m25,8063,010₦1.54bn₦1.54bn51%2.1 yr
    Under 30m25,2742,809₦277m₦277m51%1.9 yr
    30 50m23,6761,918₦365m₦365m51%2.1 yr
    250 1000m22,6811,509₦9.53bn₦9.5bn61%1.6 yr
    Over 1000m22220₦2.84bn₦2.84bn73%1.4 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban Centre17,9689,379₦13.4bn₦13.3bn49%2.1 yr
    Urban7,8314,370₦9.38bn₦9.36bn63%1.6 yr
    Unclassified793327₦1.5bn₦1.5bn25%4.4 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential Small9,8085,120₦2.41bn₦2.41bn65%1.6 yr
    Residential8,9114,551₦14.8bn₦14.7bn69%1.6 yr
    Shed6,0262,869₦251m₦251m11%9.1 yr
    Residential Formal734558₦294m₦294m49%2.1 yr
    Commercial253233₦1.42bn₦1.42bn67%1.6 yr
    Institutional193163₦2.84bn₦2.84bn57%1.9 yr
    Kiosk Shop134131₦31.8m₦31.8m63%1.6 yr
    Educational Facility7568₦342m₦342m83%1.4 yr
    School6458₦138m₦138m81%1.4 yr
    Commercial Corridor6161₦175m₦175m47%2.4 yr
    Apartment4719₦11.4m₦11.4m25%4.4 yr
    Industrial Site4333₦257m₦257m69%1.4 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)26,59114,076₦24.3bn₦24.2bn
    Farmland10₦15.1k₦15.1k

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard25,97113,511₦18.6bn₦18.5bn51%2.1 yr
    SME High316296₦1.6bn₦1.6bn65%1.6 yr
    Enterprise305269₦4.1bn₦4.08bn69%1.6 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    3.015,6478,334₦21.2bn₦21.2bn
    0.06,0372,873₦252m₦252m
    2.03,2251,790₦801m₦801m
    4.01,229703₦1.23bn₦1.23bn
    1.0346275₦62.6m₦62.6m
    5.06059₦376m₦376m
    6.04842₦278m₦278m

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

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