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    Imo State

    Rooftop solar in Ezinihitte, Imo: what the roofs are worth

    Ezinihitte has 48,850 buildings with a viable rooftop and 1.11 GWp of roof capacity. 49% run a generator, and together they spend ₦33.4bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    48,850

    Usable roof area

    4.93 km²

    1.11 GWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦33.4bn/yr

    29.8 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    4.4 yr

    Median IRR 25% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Ezinihitte

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦33.4bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦33.4bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦1.72tn
    NPV₦273bn
    Median IRR25%
    Median payback4.4 yr
    Unlocked energy26.9 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity119 MWp
    Capex₦126bn
    Year-one energy value₦112bn
    Lifetime energy value₦5.35tn
    NPV₦900bn
    Median IRR97%
    Median payback1.1 yr

    Three ways to size Ezinihitte's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    119 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦126bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦112bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦900bn
    Median IRR
    97%
    Median payback
    1.1 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Ezinihitte pays back quickly

    Of the 48,733 buildings in Ezinihitte with a modelled payback, 74.4% pay back inside five years and 48.8% inside three.

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    How much of Ezinihitte's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Ezinihitte consume 41.5 GWh/yr but want 68.4 GWh/yr. The 39% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Ezinihitte

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Ezinihitte actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 48,733 buildings with a modelled result out of 48,850 in Ezinihitte. 41,559 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years23,794 (49%)
    Under 5 years36,235 (74%)
    Under 7 years41,521 (85%)
    Under 10 years44,309 (91%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%43,575 (89%)
    Above 15%41,559 (85%)
    Above 20%37,908 (78%)
    Above 25%25,192 (52%)
    CO₂ avoided

    61.4 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    19.2 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    26.9 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    270k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Ezinihitte.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Ezinihitte

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    C19,6209,886₦13.6bn₦13.6bn43%2.4 yr
    D16,5957,692₦10.2bn₦10.2bn25%4.4 yr
    E12,6356,213₦9.61bn₦9.59bn25%4.4 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential48,12923,169₦29.8bn₦29.8bn25%4.4 yr
    Anchor324278₦2.27bn₦2.26bn73%1.4 yr
    Commercial General259224₦1.04bn₦1.04bn57%1.9 yr
    Worship7564₦162m₦162m61%1.6 yr
    Industrial5548₦145m₦145m67%1.6 yr
    Filling Station88₦19.1m₦19.1m63%1.6 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m218,0298,795₦15.2bn₦15.2bn25%4.4 yr
    50 100m210,7345,212₦2.37bn₦2.37bn25%4.4 yr
    Under 30m28,5724,135₦370m₦370m17%5.9 yr
    30 50m26,4013,039₦512m₦512m23%4.9 yr
    250 1000m25,0692,571₦13.8bn₦13.8bn49%2.1 yr
    Over 1000m24539₦1.2bn₦1.19bn73%1.4 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban Centre43,92821,499₦28.8bn₦28.8bn25%4.4 yr
    Urban2,6451,385₦3.49bn₦3.49bn55%1.9 yr
    Unclassified2,277907₦1.17bn₦1.17bn25%4.4 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential Small18,0958,930₦4.04bn₦4.04bn25%4.4 yr
    Residential17,4878,826₦25.1bn₦25.1bn49%2.1 yr
    Shed10,6445,206₦471m₦471m19%5.6 yr
    Residential Informal1,194130₦131m₦131m25%4.6 yr
    Residential Formal56555₦37.3m₦37.3m23%4.6 yr
    Institutional240210₦1.33bn₦1.31bn57%1.9 yr
    Apartment12619₦9.98m₦9.98m25%4.4 yr
    Educational Facility10896₦509m₦509m81%1.4 yr
    School9785₦282m₦282m81%1.4 yr
    Healthcare Facility5544₦745m₦745m53%2.1 yr
    Industrial Site4742₦119m₦119m69%1.6 yr
    Clinic4737₦268m₦268m51%2.1 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)48,85023,791₦33.4bn₦33.4bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard48,45723,451₦30.8bn₦30.8bn25%4.4 yr
    Enterprise379326₦2.42bn₦2.4bn69%1.6 yr
    SME High1414₦164m₦164m67%1.6 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    3.030,76915,577₦31.5bn₦31.5bn
    0.010,6445,200₦469m₦469m
    2.05,9372,677₦1.04bn₦1.04bn
    4.01,052179₦328m₦328m
    1.0446156₦25m₦24.9m
    5.022₦65.4m₦65.4m

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

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