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    Anambra State

    Rooftop solar in Dunukofia, Anambra: what the roofs are worth

    Dunukofia has 44,762 buildings with a viable rooftop and 1.03 GWp of roof capacity. 44% run a generator, and together they spend ₦27.7bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    44,762

    Usable roof area

    4.59 km²

    1.03 GWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦27.7bn/yr

    24.4 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    4.4 yr

    Median IRR 25% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Dunukofia

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦27.7bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦27.7bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦1.47tn
    NPV₦222bn
    Median IRR25%
    Median payback4.4 yr
    Unlocked energy24 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity92.6 MWp
    Capex₦93.8bn
    Year-one energy value₦71.9bn
    Lifetime energy value₦3.41tn
    NPV₦561bn
    Median IRR83%
    Median payback1.4 yr

    Three ways to size Dunukofia's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    92.6 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦93.8bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦71.9bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦561bn
    Median IRR
    83%
    Median payback
    1.4 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Dunukofia pays back quickly

    Of the 44,594 buildings in Dunukofia with a modelled payback, 76.2% pay back inside five years and 42.3% inside three.

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    How much of Dunukofia's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Dunukofia consume 44.1 GWh/yr but want 68 GWh/yr. The 35% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Dunukofia

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Dunukofia actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 44,594 buildings with a modelled result out of 44,762 in Dunukofia. 40,303 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years18,868 (42%)
    Under 5 years33,976 (76%)
    Under 7 years40,261 (90%)
    Under 10 years42,809 (96%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%42,441 (95%)
    Above 15%40,303 (90%)
    Above 20%35,866 (80%)
    Above 25%27,012 (60%)
    CO₂ avoided

    51.9 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    14 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    24 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    148k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Dunukofia.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Dunukofia

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    B21,46410,031₦13.3bn₦13.3bn25%4.4 yr
    C15,5317,454₦11.9bn₦11.8bn25%4.4 yr
    A7,0641,628₦1.39bn₦1.39bn25%4.4 yr
    E669476₦1.03bn₦1.03bn73%1.4 yr
    D3420₦139m₦139m63%1.6 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential43,33818,656₦21.1bn₦21bn25%4.4 yr
    Commercial General632396₦2.2bn₦2.2bn47%2.4 yr
    Anchor318235₦3.37bn₦3.36bn53%2.1 yr
    Worship185146₦341m₦341m53%2.1 yr
    Industrial147123₦593m₦591m59%1.9 yr
    Commercial Retail12435₦18.3m₦18.3m33%3.4 yr
    Filling Station1010₦17.6m₦17.6m55%1.9 yr
    Hospitality77₦131m₦131m45%2.4 yr
    Automotive11₦1.08m₦1.08m57%1.9 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m217,0807,414₦10bn₦10bn25%4.4 yr
    50 100m29,9104,223₦1.57bn₦1.57bn25%4.4 yr
    Under 30m27,5803,249₦329m₦323m19%5.9 yr
    30 50m25,5802,408₦435m₦435m21%4.9 yr
    250 1000m24,5332,258₦12.1bn₦12.1bn31%3.4 yr
    Over 1000m27957₦3.29bn₦3.28bn53%1.9 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban Centre38,34115,909₦21.2bn₦21.2bn25%4.4 yr
    Dense Urban3,8882,317₦3.18bn₦3.18bn53%2.1 yr
    Unclassified1,679806₦2.53bn₦2.53bn25%4.1 yr
    Urban854577₦808m₦808m57%1.9 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential Small12,1536,767₦2.29bn₦2.29bn49%2.1 yr
    Residential11,1206,180₦16.8bn₦16.8bn51%2.1 yr
    Residential Formal8,4332,090₦1.05bn₦1.05bn25%4.4 yr
    Shed5,5342,634₦263m₦263m21%5.4 yr
    Residential Informal3,923361₦306m₦306m25%4.4 yr
    Apartment1,914505₦246m₦246m25%4.4 yr
    Institutional327256₦2.77bn₦2.77bn49%2.1 yr
    Duplex19476₦30.8m₦30.8m25%4.4 yr
    Commercial152120₦814m₦814m55%1.9 yr
    Commercial Corridor1287₦115m₦115m33%3.1 yr
    Kiosk Shop12435₦18.3m₦18.3m33%3.4 yr
    Industrial Site10793₦512m₦510m59%1.9 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)44,76219,609₦27.7bn₦27.7bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard44,02219,125₦22.7bn₦22.7bn25%4.4 yr
    Enterprise444343₦3.93bn₦3.92bn53%1.9 yr
    SME High296141₦1.06bn₦1.06bn35%3.1 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    3.020,18011,161₦22.9bn₦22.9bn
    4.013,0512,854₦3.4bn₦3.39bn
    0.05,5972,675₦279m₦279m
    2.05,2152,572₦861m₦858m
    1.0613340₦55.1m₦55.1m
    5.01006₦113m₦113m
    6.061₦146m₦146m

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Nearby LGAs in Anambra