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    Anambra State

    Rooftop solar in Idemili North, Anambra: what the roofs are worth

    Idemili North has 112,222 buildings with a viable rooftop and 2.8 GWp of roof capacity. 55% run a generator, and together they spend ₦151bn a year on energy.

    Viable buildings

    112,222

    Usable roof area

    12.5 km²

    2.8 GWp roof capacity

    Energy spend

    ₦151bn/yr

    129 GWh/yr burned on generators

    Median payback

    3.1 yr

    Median IRR 33% (cash saved)

    The savings bracket for Idemili North

    Approach B

    Cash saved

    What these buildings stop paying — merit order, capped at current spend.

    Current energy spend₦151bn/yr
    Year-one cash saved₦147bn
    Lifetime cash saved₦7.64tn
    NPV₦1.15tn
    Median IRR33%
    Median payback3.1 yr
    Unlocked energy95.7 GWh/yr
    Approach A

    Energy value (upper bracket)

    What the energy is worth if full latent demand were met. Not cash saved.

    Installed capacity407 MWp
    Capex₦409bn
    Year-one energy value₦306bn
    Lifetime energy value₦14.4tn
    NPV₦2.36tn
    Median IRR81%
    Median payback1.4 yr

    Three ways to size Idemili North's rooftops

    Solar + battery. The default headline scenario, and the one the SEO fact base quotes. Prices the energy a full solar+storage system would deliver.

    Baseline: mixed
    Counterfactual: grid when available, generator otherwise, weighted by the NTL-derived grid availability. The realistic case, and what the headline numbers use. Always falls between grid and genset by construction.

    Read with care: Sized to LATENT demand — the energy the building would use if it could. Against a cash baseline that only reflects today's spend this looks oversized; that is what sc3 exists to fix.

    System size
    407 MWp
    Capital cost
    ₦409bn
    Year 1 savings
    ₦306bn/yr
    NPV
    ₦2.36tn
    Median IRR
    81%
    Median payback
    1.4 yr

    The odds a rooftop in Idemili North pays back quickly

    Of the 111,942 buildings in Idemili North with a modelled payback, 83.6% pay back inside five years and 47.5% inside three.

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    How much of Idemili North's demand actually gets met

    Buildings in Idemili North consume 242 GWh/yr but want 337 GWh/yr. The 28% they cannot buy is suppressed demand — load that appears the moment supply is reliable.

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    Electricity billing bands in Idemili North

    Loading band economics…

    How many rooftops in Idemili North actually pay

    Counted building by building on the cash-saved basis (merit-order sized, valued against what the building spends today), not read off an average. Shares are of the 111,942 buildings with a modelled result out of 112,222 in Idemili North. 103,050 clear a positive NPV.

    Payback

    Under 3 years53,183 (48%)
    Under 5 years93,621 (84%)
    Under 7 years102,997 (92%)
    Under 10 years107,663 (96%)

    Return (IRR)

    Above 10%106,764 (95%)
    Above 15%103,050 (92%)
    Above 20%96,725 (86%)
    Above 25%82,284 (73%)
    CO₂ avoided

    264 kt/yr

    Fuel avoided

    74.7 million litres/yr

    Energy unlocked

    95.7 GWh/yr

    Demand that is suppressed today

    People served

    590k

    What hardware costs right now

    Median advertised rates from our Nigerian market tracker — the same prices used to cost a system in Idemili North.

    Solar panels

    ₦250

    ₦/W

    Inverters

    ₦127,419

    ₦/kVA

    Batteries

    ₦177,500

    ₦/kWh

    Building mix in Idemili North

    Electricity billing band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    A58,93134,082₦73.9bn₦72.5bn33%3.4 yr
    C16,8458,233₦22.1bn₦21.9bn25%4.1 yr
    B16,35011,043₦28.7bn₦28bn55%1.9 yr
    E10,7524,162₦10.6bn₦10.6bn25%4.4 yr
    D9,3444,662₦15.5bn₦14.2bn27%3.9 yr

    Load profile

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential107,41258,354₦116bn₦114bn31%3.4 yr
    Commercial General2,5612,117₦17.5bn₦17.4bn47%2.4 yr
    Commercial Retail1,005905₦359m₦359m47%2.4 yr
    Anchor589371₦13.5bn₦12.5bn45%2.4 yr
    Worship304178₦624m₦522m41%2.6 yr
    Industrial280218₦2.09bn₦2.07bn55%1.9 yr
    Filling Station3120₦62.2m₦62.2m41%2.6 yr
    Hospitality3015₦428m₦394m35%2.9 yr
    Mall Retail51₦1.57m₦1.57m33%3.1 yr
    Automotive32₦3.23m₦3.23m41%2.6 yr
    Productive Use21₦6.58m₦6.58m35%2.1 yr

    Roof size band

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    100 250m238,92121,220₦54bn₦52.8bn33%3.1 yr
    50 100m224,26713,519₦9.06bn₦8.87bn35%3.1 yr
    Under 30m219,22610,479₦1.23bn₦1.23bn27%3.9 yr
    250 1000m215,1928,884₦66.2bn₦65.2bn37%2.9 yr
    30 50m214,3297,875₦2.09bn₦2.03bn33%3.4 yr
    Over 1000m2287205₦18.3bn₦17.1bn49%2.1 yr

    Settlement type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Urban Centre108,31059,814₦144bn₦140bn33%3.1 yr
    Unclassified3,9122,368₦7.11bn₦6.75bn41%2.6 yr

    Building type

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Residential Formal30,32615,036₦12.4bn₦12.4bn25%4.1 yr
    Residential Small21,21312,280₦11.5bn₦11.2bn57%1.9 yr
    Residential20,53012,213₦80.4bn₦78.4bn59%1.9 yr
    Residential Informal16,1358,552₦8.78bn₦8.77bn29%3.9 yr
    Shed13,4587,556₦919m₦919m45%2.4 yr
    Apartment3,8241,781₦1.47bn₦1.47bn25%4.1 yr
    Duplex1,825868₦711m₦711m25%4.1 yr
    Commercial1,2101,060₦10.2bn₦10.1bn47%2.1 yr
    Kiosk Shop1,007906₦366m₦366m47%2.4 yr
    Commercial Corridor633571₦4.15bn₦4.14bn47%2.4 yr
    Institutional579402₦12bn₦11.3bn43%2.6 yr
    Unknown215143₦899m₦899m39%2.9 yr

    Land use

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    (Unset)111,65961,804₦150bn₦147bn
    Industrial563378₦589m₦589m

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Lead segment

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B) Median IRR Median payback
    Standard109,50659,965₦121bn₦119bn33%3.4 yr
    SME High1,8971,662₦14.4bn₦14.4bn47%2.4 yr
    Enterprise819555₦15.4bn₦14.3bn49%2.1 yr

    Demand tier

    SegmentBuildings With generator Spend ₦/yr Cash saved yr 1 (B)
    4.043,05321,476₦32.4bn₦32.2bn
    3.040,97924,089₦101bn₦97.7bn
    0.013,4037,547₦936m₦936m
    2.012,0347,073₦4.52bn₦4.38bn
    1.01,457866₦163m₦163m
    5.0950829₦4.36bn₦4.35bn
    6.0346302₦7.6bn₦7.51bn

    Not published for this cube: Median IRR, Median payback.

    Nearby LGAs in Anambra